【明報專訊】IN her speech for the Double Tenth Day, Tsai Eng-wen, the Taiwanese President, displayed her steadfast refusal to accept the "1992 Consensus". As governments across the Taiwan Strait lack political common ground and mutual trust, it is difficult to predict what their relations will become. What is foreseeable, however, is that their relations will evolve from the "cold peace" since May 20 to "cold confrontation". Whether the situation will further deteriorate hinges on whether the Taiwanese independence movement will press for a prompt independence, with the developments in the region also decisive.