【明報專訊】TODAY (June 20) it is a full month since the Tsai Ing-wen administration began to run Taiwan. Some analysts believe Beijing still hopes the Tsai administration will return to the political basis of recognising the "1992 consensus" so that it will be possible to keep the mechanism whereby the two sides of the Taiwan Strait have communicated and have had dealings with each other and consolidate the situation of peaceful development that has taken shape over the past eight years. However, it is clear from what has happened over the past month that, forces at home and abroad restraining Tsai Ing-wen being rather strong, lenghe (cold peace) will inevitably persist.